Ecommerce: The History and Future of Online Shopping (2024)

What is Ecommerce?

Ecommerce (or electronic commerce) is the buying and selling of goods or services on the Internet. It encompasses a wide variety of data, systems and tools for online buyers and sellers, including mobile shopping and online payment encryption.

Most businesses with an online presence use an online store and/or platform to conduct ecommerce marketing and sales activities and to oversee logistics and fulfillment.

According to eMarketer, in 2022, global retail ecommerce sales will surpass $5 trillion for the first time, accounting for more than a fifth of overall retail sales. And by 2025, total spending will exceed $7 trillion, despite slowing growth.

To fully understand ecommerce, let’s take a look at its history, growth and impact on the business world. We will also discuss some advantages and disadvantages to ecommerce as well as predictions for the future. For more expert insights on the go, check out our biweekly audio series, the Make it Big Podcast, where global thought leaders discuss all things ecommerce — from industry news and trends to growth strategies and success stories.

Sizes of Ecommerce Businesses

From small startups to large enterprises, ecommerce businesses can come in all sizes. Let’s look at the main four you’re likely to come across.

Startup.

A startup is a business or project in the first stages of development, often built by an entrepreneur to pursue an innovative business model.

Typically a startup has less than 100 employees, however a startup is often defined not by size but by profitability. According to Alex Wilhelm, writer for TechCrunch, a company is no longer considered a startup after it reaches a $50 million revenue run rate or is worth more than $500 million, on paper or otherwise.

Small business.

Small businesses are sole proprietorships, partnerships or corporations that sell products or services and make less money and have fewer employees than large multinational corporations. The U.S. Small Business Administration further defines a small business in terms of employment (from 100 to over 1,500 employees) or average annual receipts over time (ranging from $1 million to over $40 million).

Mid-market.

According to Sangoma, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), also known as “mid-market,” businesses, typically have between 101-500 employees and genrate between $10 million and $1 billion in annual revenue.

Enterprise.

Large enterprise businesses can have over 1000 employees and usually generate over $1 billion in annual revenue.

Since the beginning of 2020, 45% of ecommerce software buying activity has come from enterprise-level companies.

Types of Ecommerce

Generally, there are seven main models of ecommerce that businesses can be categorized into:

  • B2C.

  • B2B.

  • C2C.

  • D2C.

  • C2B.

  • B2A.

  • C2A.

Let’s review each type of electronic commerce in a bit more detail.

1. Business-to-Consumer (B2C).

B2C ecommerce encompasses transactions made between a business and a consumer. B2C is one of the most popular sales models in the ecommerce context. For example, when you buy shoes from an online retailer, it’s a business-to-consumer ecommerce transaction.

2. Business-to-Business (B2B).

Unlike B2C, B2B ecommerce encompasses sales made between businesses, such as a manufacturer and a wholesaler or retailer. B2B is not consumer-facing and happens only between businesses.

3. Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C).

One of the earliest forms of ecommerce, consumer-to-customer ecommerce relates to the sale of products or services between customers. This includes C2C selling relationships, such as those seen on eBay or Amazon.

4. Direct-to-Consumer (D2C).

A newer model of ecommerce, D2C refers to a business that sells products directly to the end customer instead of going through a retailer, distributor or wholesaler.

One common example of D2C ecommerce is a subscription-based brand such as Netflix or Dollar Shave Club.

5. Consumer-to-Business (C2B).

C2B reverses the traditional retail model, meaning individual consumers make their products or services available for business buyers.

One example of a C2B ecommerce business is iStock, an online store where stock photos are available for purchase directly from different photographers.

6. Business-to-Administration (B2A).

B2A covers the transactions made between online businesses and administrations. An example would be the products and services related to legal documents, social security, etc.

7. Consumer-to-Administration (C2A).

C2A is similar to B2A, but instead, consumers sell products or services to an administration. C2A can include online consulting for education, online tax preparation, etc.

Examples of Ecommerce

Of course, to run an ecommerce business, you have to have something to sell.

But unlike brick-and-mortar businesses, ecommerce retail can take on a number of forms, with transactions involving a variety of products and services.

Let’s dive into three examples of what you can sell online:

Sell physical goods.

Think of your favorite clothing, home decor or electronics brand — these are all prime examples of selling physical goods online.

Physical goods are any tangible products that can be bought and sold in-store or online. Most often, these types of ecommerce businesses will be either B2C or D2C brands, but even some B2B vendors are also in the physical goods category.

Sell digital goods.

Whether you’re a seasoned online merchant or an aspiring entrepreneur, digital products are a promising avenue for selling online.

Digital products can come in the form of digital files such as templates and tools or online classes, or they can be downloadable products such as printable artwork, music or infographics.

Sell services.

Selling services entails offering a specialized service, such as freelance writing, influencer marketing or online coaching in exchange for compensation.

Many service-based businesses are B2B, however some B2C brands, such as Fiverr, offer online services as well.

Growth of Ecommerce

Ecommerce has come a long way since the CompuServe launch in 1969.

Driven by changes in technology and global circ*mstances, ecommerce is growing and shows no sign of stopping.

  • Sales in online stores are expected to reach 22% of global retail sales by 2023, compared to 14.1% in 2019.

  • It is estimated that by 2024, digital wallets will account for over half of total ecommerce payment volumes.

Amazon will account for 39.5% of all US retail ecommerce sales in 2022, or nearly $2 in $5 spent online.

Ecommerce: The History and Future of Online Shopping (1)

The Impact of Ecommerce

The impact of ecommerce is far and wide, rippling from small businesses to global enterprises.

Here we’ll highlight some of the major ways ecommerce has shaped the retail landscape.

Large retailers are forced to sell online.

For many retailers, the growth of ecommerce can expand their brands’ reach and positively impact their bottom lines. But retailers who have been slow to embrace the online marketplace are the ones facing the biggest challenges.

In February 2019, online sales narrowly surpassed general merchandise stores for the first time, including department stores, warehouse clubs and supercenters. And since Amazon Prime took away the price of shipping, more consumers are comfortable with online shopping — which means larger retailers have little choice but to go digital.

Ecommerce helps small businesses sell directly to customers.

For many small businesses, ecommerce adoption can be a slow process. However, those who embrace it may discover that ecommerce can open doors to new opportunities.

Slowly, small business owners are launching ecommerce stores and diversifying their offerings, reaching more customers and better accommodating those who prefer online/mobile shopping.

However, with ecommerce sales growing by the year and one in four small businesses still lacking an online store, there remains a prime opportunity for entrepreneurs to gain a competitive edge and expand their businesses online.

B2B companies start offering B2C-like online ordering experiences.

With 90% of B2B customers expecting B2C-like digital experiences, B2B companies must work to improve their customer experiences online to catch up with B2C companies. This includes creating an omnichannel experience with multiple touchpoints and using data to create personalized relationships with customers.

Ecommerce solutions can allow self-service, provide more user-friendly platforms for price comparison and help B2B brands maintain relationships with buyers, too.

The rise of ecommerce marketplaces.

Online marketplaces have been on the rise since the mid-1990s with the launch of giants we know today, such as Amazon, Alibaba and others.

Amazon in particular is known for its unique growth strategy that has helped them achieve mass-adoption and record-breaking sales. By offering a broad selection and extreme convenience to customers, they’ve been able to quickly scale up through innovation and optimization on-the-go.

But Amazon doesn’t do this alone. In the fourth quarter of 2021, 56% of Amazon’s paid units were sold by third-party sellers (i.e. not Amazon).

Supply chain management has evolved.

Survey data shows that one of ecommerce’s main impacts on supply chain management is that it shortens product life cycles.

As a result, producers can present deeper and broader assortments as a buffer against price erosion. But this also means that warehouses may see larger amounts of stock in and out of their facilities.

In response, warehousers may offer the following value-added services to help make ecommerce operations more seamless and effective:

  • Separation of stock/storage for online vs. retail sales: Calculate forecasts and replenish stock separately for online and in-store in order to achieve more accurate results.

  • Different packaging services: Choosing the right pick-and-pack software can help businesses ship orders quickly and accurately.

  • Inventory/logistics oversight: Following best practices for inventory management is key to managing stock levels.

New jobs are created.

Ecommerce employment is set to increase by 32% in 2022, overshadowing the 28% growth documented in 2021.

In addition, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, computer jobs are projected to increase by 13.4% over the 2020–30 decade — which is 5.7 percentage points faster than the 7.7% average for all occupations.

Customers shop differently.

Ecommerce is revolutionizing the way modern consumers shop.

Today, we know that there are at least 2.14 billion digital buyers, which is 27.6% of the 7.74 billion people in the world. And by 2025, Statista projects there will be 291.2 million online buyers in the U.S. alone.

Today, ecommerce shoppers can discover and be influenced to purchase products or services based on recommendations from friends, peers and trusted sources (like influencers) on social networks like Facebook, Instagram and Twitter.

Many social media platforms now offer ecommerce features, such as in-app checkout, shoppable posts and “Buy Now” buttons that take users directly to a brand’s product page.

Global ecommerce is growing rapidly.

In 2021, over 2.14 billion people worldwide were estimated to shop online, up from 1.66 billion global digital buyers in 2016.

Chinese ecommerce platform, Taobao, is the largest online marketplace with a gross market value (GMV) of $711 billion. For context, Tmall and Amazon ranked second and third with $672 billion and $390 billion GMV in annual third-party global market value respectively.

With so many ecommerce platforms, marketplaces and digital solutions available, there are practically no limits for merchants looking to sell online, which makes it easier than ever for businesses to go global.

Advantages of Ecommerce

Ecommerce has many different advantages — from faster buying to the ability to reach large audiences 24/7.

Let’s take a look in detail at some of the top perks ecommerce has to offer.

Faster buying for customers.

For customers, ecommerce makes it possible to shop from anywhere, any time.

That means buyers can get the products they want and need faster without being constrained by operating hours of a traditional brick-and-mortar store.

Plus, with shipping upgrades that make rapid delivery available to customers, even the lagtime of order fulfillment can be minimal (think Amazon Prime Now, for example).

Companies can easily reach new customers.

Ecommerce also makes it easier for companies to reach new, global customers. An online store isn’t tied to a single geographic location — it’s open and available to any and all customers who visit it online.

With the added benefits of social media advertising, email marketing and SEO (search engine optimization), brands have the potential to connect with massive target audiences who are in a ready-to-buy mindset.

Lower operational costs.

Without a need for a physical storefront (and employees to staff it), ecommerce retailers can launch stores with minimal operating costs. And those that run a dropshipping business can even minimize upfront investment costs.

As sales increase, brands can easily scale up their operations without making major property investments or hiring a large workforce — this means higher margins overall.

Personalized experiences.

With the help of automation and rich customer profiles, you can deliver highly personalized online experiences for your ecommerce customer base.

Showcasing relevant products based on past purchase behavior, for example, can lead to higher average order value (AOV) and make the shopper feel like you truly understand their unique needs.

Access to New Technologies.

With a physical store alone, you may find your options are limited when it comes to innovation. However, as the ecommerce ecosystem continues to mature and improve, your business will have access to the latest technologies to help streamline business processes.

With a variety of apps and integrations at your fingertips, you’ll be able to improve workflows, better execute your marketing strategy and improve the overall shopping experience.

Disadvantages of Ecommerce

Although modern ecommerce is increasingly flexible today, it still has its own setbacks.

Here are some of the downsides to ecommerce retail.

Limited interactions with customers.

Without being face-to-face, it can be harder to understand the wants, needs and concerns of your ecommerce customers.

There are still ways to gather this data (surveys, customer support interactions, etc.), but it may take a bit more work than talking with shoppers in person on a day-to-day basis.

Technology breakdowns can impact ability to sell.

If your ecommerce website is slow, broken or unavailable to customers, this may impact your ability to make sales. Site crashes and technology failures can damage relationships with customers and negatively impact your bottom line.

No ability to test or try on.

For customers who want to get hands-on with a product (especially in the realm of physical goods like clothing, shoes and beauty products) before adding it to their shopping cart, the ecommerce experience can be limiting.

The History of Ecommerce: A Timeline

Ecommerce: The History and Future of Online Shopping (2)

The Future of Ecommerce

According to Statista, ecommerce revenue is expected to show a yearly growth rate of 14.56%, resulting in a projected market volume of $1,365.00 billion by 2025 — which goes to show that ecommerce is no passing trend.

Especially with the rise of omnichannel shopping experiences, digital buyers should expect to be able to research, browse, shop and purchase seamlessly between different devices and on various commerce platforms.

Other trends to watch for in the future of ecommerce include:

  • Robust customer journeys and personalization.

  • Artificial intelligence-enabled shopping.

  • Social shopping.

  • Mobile commerce.

  • Digital currencies, such as mobile wallets and cryptocurrency.

Overall, we have to remember that ecommerce is still fairly new in the big picture of retail. The future holds endless opportunity, but its success and continuation will depend largely on buyers’ preferences in the future.

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FAQs About Ecommerce

Ecommerce: The History and Future of Online Shopping (2024)

FAQs

What is e-commerce and its future? ›

E-commerce has significantly evolved since its inception. With the advent of innovative technologies and changing consumer behavior, the future of the ecommerce industry looks promising. It will continue to transform in the coming years, presenting businesses with creative ways to reach customers.

What will happen to e-commerce in the future? ›

Eco-Friendly E-Commerce

The focus on sustainability and eco-friendliness has gained momentum in recent years. In 2024, this trend will likely intensify in the e-commerce industry. Customers expect e-commerce platforms to offer eco-friendly options, reduce packaging waste and embrace sustainable practices.

When did online ecommerce start? ›

1979 — English inventor Michael Aldrich uses a transaction-processing computer and a doctored television to create the very first secure data transmission, laying the groundwork for online shopping. 1982 — The first online marketplace, Boston Computer Exchange, opens for business.

How e-commerce is changing the shopping experience? ›

Shoppers Have Greater Access to Goods

Today's consumers have access to more information, and ecommerce has given them access to products from around the world. New trade agreements and advances in ecommerce technology has opened the door for brands to sell outside their domestic markets and customers are bought in.

Is e-commerce a success or failure? ›

However at the same time you should also be aware of the fact that 80-90% is the ecommerce failure rate. From managing multiple storefronts, to right audience mapping, strong local presence, effective social media marketing, there are plenty of factors that need to be contribute to the success or e commerce failures.

Why will e-commerce have a bright future in the purchasing trends? ›

Many ecommerce platforms offer native marketing tools to gain deep insights into customer behavior, preferences, and trends. By analyzing this customer data, businesses can personalize shopping experiences, improve marketing strategies, and build stronger customer relationships, ultimately driving loyalty and growth.

What is the biggest problem with e-commerce? ›

List of common e-commerce challenges
  • Growing competition.
  • Increased customer expectations.
  • Insufficient customer engagement.
  • Low conversion rates.
  • Shopping cart abandonment.
  • Poor customer retention strategy.
  • Complicated process of product return & refund.
  • Limited scalability options.
Mar 2, 2023

What will online shopping look like in 2030? ›

The ecommerce numbers for 2030 go even higher. And just like the internet changed the future of shopping back in the 90s, the same is happening now with AI-driven ecommerce tools, virtual/augmented reality interfaces, and similar technologies that will further transform how we buy stuff.

What is the next big thing in eCommerce? ›

E-commerce has come a long way in recent years, and it's only natural to wonder what the next big thing in this ever-evolving industry will be. One of the most promising trends on the horizon is Augmented Reality or AR. Augmented Reality is poised to revolutionize the way we shop online.

Why did eCommerce become so popular? ›

eCommerce businesses are businesses that sell products or services online. These businesses can range from small, mom-and-pop shops to large, multinational corporations. eCommerce has become a popular way to shop for many people because it is convenient and often cheaper than traditional brick-and-mortar stores.

Who is the founder of eCommerce? ›

1979: Michael Aldrich invented electronic shopping (he is also considered as founder or inventor of eCommerce). This was done by connecting a transaction-processing computer with a modified TV through a telephone connection.

Did Amazon start eCommerce? ›

Amazon Ecommerce Business History

Humble beginnings! In 1994, Amazon rode the dot com wave that emerged and morphed from a garage startup to a setter of innovation trends in eCommerce. It started as an online bookstore with rented storages where they could keep all the books being sold.

What is the future of e-commerce in the next 5 to 10 years? ›

E-commerce is projected to reach $6.35 trillion by 2027, signaling significant growth opportunities. Mobile commerce will dominate retail e-commerce sales, accounting for 70% by 2024. Artificial intelligence and machine learning will revolutionize personalized customer service and product recommendations.

How will e-commerce change in the future? ›

Virtual Reality And Augmented Reality

Prediction: As AR and VR technology becomes more accessible, I expect to see broader integration into e-commerce platforms. This will enable consumers to interact with products in unprecedented ways, and I believe it could improve their shopping decisions and overall satisfaction.

Is eCommerce the future of retail? ›

The retail landscape continues to undergo a dramatic shift, with e-commerce leading this transformation. In 2023, the convergence of digital and physical retail worlds is expected to evolve in unprecedented ways, signaling a future where e-commerce is not just an option but a crucial component of the retail industry.

What is the next big thing in e-commerce? ›

Social Commerce

Most consumers are likely to browse social media platforms such as Instagram and Tiktok, or even Facebook to look for eCommerce platforms or products to buy directly. Social commerce allows people to look for certain items and purchase immediately without even leaving the page or network.

What is the future of e-commerce in 2025? ›

In the era of 2025, hyper-personalization will emerge as a key differentiator for e-commerce success. AI-driven algorithms will play a pivotal role in analyzing customer data to deliver highly customized experiences.

How e-commerce will look like in 2030? ›

✅ Growth of ecommerce: Major expansion is anticipated, with the global market ballooning to $5.5 trillion by 2030 from $1.3 trillion in 2019. ✅ Importance of mobile commerce: Forecasts indicate that 72.9% of sales will be mobile-driven by 2030, highlighting the urgency of mobile optimization and marketing.

Does e-commerce make money? ›

According to a 2023 NYU Stern School of Business study, you can make around 42.78% in gross profit margins and 0.64% in net ecommerce profit margins from your online business. But bear in mind that these are ballpark figures. Your final profit will depend on the following: Kinds and prices of products you sell.

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