Should You Buy Chipotle Stock Ahead of Its 50-for-1 Stock Split? | The Motley Fool (2024)

This is one of the biggest stock splits the market has ever seen.

Burrito-centric restaurant chain Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG -2.57%) made its public market debut way back in 2006. But in June, it plans to do something it's never done before: split its stock.

Management is proposing a massive 50-for-1 stock split, meaning investors will receive 49 additional shares for every share they currently own. It's not quite a done deal yet as the plan needs shareholder approval, but it's likely to go through.

Stock splits are enjoying their time in the financial headlines. However, there are more important things to watch with Chipotle stock, and there's only one thing that could be meaningful when it comes to the 50-for-1 split.

What investors need to know

There's no reason to rush out and buy Chipotle stock ahead of its stock split because stock splits don't do anything to create shareholder value. As of this writing, Chipotle stock trades near $3,000 per share. After the 50-for-1 split, it will trade closer to $60 per share -- no value created or lost.

In the future, Chipotle will create shareholder value as it has in the past -- with profitable growth of its business.

Chipotle really has been a marvel since it went public. The company has grown from roughly 500 locations to more than 3,400 today, fueling its revenue growth. But the top line has also benefited from higher sales per location -- average unit volumes more than doubled from $1.4 million in 2005 to over $3 million at the end of 2023.

More locations and higher sales per location have led to explosive growth for Chipotle's bottom line too.

Should You Buy Chipotle Stock Ahead of Its 50-for-1 Stock Split? | The Motley Fool (1)

Data by YCharts.

This is how Chipotle has pushed its stock from $22 at IPO to over $2,900 as of this writing, and this is how it will continue to create shareholder value going forward.

To be clear, Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol believes the company's growth story is far from over. When reporting full-year 2023 results, Niccol said the company can surpass 7,000 locations in North America long term, which is more than double its footprint today. And he believes average unit volumes can eventually climb above $4 million.

Chipotle's stock split won't affect its ability to reach these business goals, which is why investors are far better served focusing on the business itself.

There are some reasons to care about the stock split

I just laid out why stock splits don't matter, but I'll concede there are other benefits to Chipotle's 50-for-1 split. First, a stock trading at $60 per share is easier for everyday investors to stomach than one trading at $2,900 per share. Not everyone has access to fractional shares, and the post-split price could bring new investors into Chipotle stock.

On a related note, Chipotle stock options will became much more attainable as well. With options contracts, investors must deal with at least 100 shares. At current levels, options for Chipotle require close to a $300,000 consideration, again pricing out many people.

There are hundreds of stock-option strategies, and many of them are extraordinarily risky. But one of the safer strategies is called a buy-write, and it can be helpful in certain cases. I think Chipotle stock is such a case.

For context, I love Chipotle's business, but I'm concerned about the valuation of its stock. It's never been a cheap stock, but as the chart below shows, it's now trading at its highest price-to-sales valuation ever.

Should You Buy Chipotle Stock Ahead of Its 50-for-1 Stock Split? | The Motley Fool (2)

Data by YCharts.

Let's say an investor wanted to buy 100 shares of Chipotle after the split, but like me, they don't love the valuation. This investor could buy 100 shares and simultaneously sell a call option. For this, the investor would receive payment and consequently lower (modestly) the all-in cost to buy Chipotle stock.

The downside of this strategy is an investor would have to sell their Chipotle shares if it climbed past the option price within the specified time period. They could potentially miss out on bigger gains while creating a short-term taxable event.

Another potential options strategy is for existing shareholders. Let's say an investor owns 10 shares of Chipotle that they bought long ago. After the split, they'll own 500 shares.

Chipotle doesn't pay a dividend so it's not an income stock. But investors could take their 500 shares and create income with options by using popular strategies. That could be appealing for long-term shareholders.

So while Chipotle's stock split doesn't involve material changes to the business, it could still have positive implications for investors.

Jon Quast has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Should You Buy Chipotle Stock Ahead of Its 50-for-1 Stock Split? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Should You Buy Chipotle Stock Ahead of Its 50-for-1 Stock Split? | The Motley Fool? ›

There's no reason to rush out and buy Chipotle stock ahead of its stock split because stock splits don't do anything to create shareholder value. As of this writing, Chipotle stock trades near $3,000 per share. After the 50-for-1 split, it will trade closer to $60 per share -- no value created or lost.

Is it better to buy before or after a stock split? ›

The short answer is it doesn't matter, and here's why. As mentioned earlier, a stock split doesn't change the value of the company or the value of an investor's holding. If you buy one share today or 10 shares after the split, you'll be investing the same amount of cash.

What is the future of Chipotle stock? ›

CMG Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 26 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Chipotle in the last 3 months. The average price target is $3,253.65 with a high forecast of $3,600.00 and a low forecast of $2,700.00. The average price target represents a 3.97% change from the last price of $3,129.52.

Do stocks go up after a split? ›

Stock splits are generally a bullish signal because they usually follow sustained stock-price appreciation. That said, investors shouldn't lose sight of fundamentals.

When you own 100 shares of a $100 stock that splits two for one you will now own? ›

Question: If you own 100 shares in a company's stock and the company's stock splits 2 for 1, you will own 200 shares in the company following the split.

Is it better to sell stock before or after split? ›

That said, many stocks have shown strong performance after a split. In other words, selling your shares of a stock prior to a split isn't always the best decision – unless, of course, you're not well-positioned to continue holding the stock.

Do you double your money when a stock splits? ›

So, if you owned 5,000 shares of stock at a price of 10 cents per share worth a total of $500 before the reverse split, you would own 25 shares at a price of $20 each after the reverse split, maintaining that total value of $500. The amount of money you have invested doesn't change, just the number of shares you own.

How much will Chipotle stock be worth in 5 years? ›

Chipotle stock price stood at $3,122.09

According to the latest long-term forecast, Chipotle price will hit $3500 by the end of 2024 and then $4000 by the middle of 2025. Chipotle will rise to $5000 within the year of 2026 and $10000 in 2035.

What is the highest Chipotle stock has ever been? ›

The latest closing stock price for Chipotle Mexican Grill as of May 30, 2024 is 3105.84.
  • The all-time high Chipotle Mexican Grill stock closing price was 3239.23 on May 10, 2024.
  • The Chipotle Mexican Grill 52-week high stock price is 3260.00, which is 5% above the current share price.

What will Chipotle stock be worth in 2030? ›

Long-Term Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Price Predictions
YearPredictionChange
2027$ 5,498.1777.06%
2028$ 6,651.60114.21%
2029$ 8,047.00159.14%
2030$ 9,735.13213.51%
2 more rows

Does the investor lose money after a stock split? ›

A stock split doesn't change the value of your investment. If you own the stock of a company that executes a stock split, the details of your position change, but the total value of your position does not.

Are stock splits good or bad? ›

It's basically a draw, and the value of your investment won't change. However, investors generally react positively to stock splits, partly because these announcements signal that a company's board wants to attract investors by making the price more affordable and increasing the number of shares available.

Does a stock split give you more shares? ›

A stock split is a corporate action in which a company issues additional shares to shareholders, increasing the total by the specified ratio based on the shares they held previously.

What stocks are expected to split in 2024? ›

3 Potential Stock Splits to Add to Your 2024 Radar
  • Broadcom (AVGO) Source: Sasima / Shutterstock.com. Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) is the most expensive stock on this list on a per-share basis. ...
  • Deckers Outdoor (DECK) Source: BalkansCat / Shutterstock. ...
  • Nvidia (NVDA) Source: Poetra.RH / Shutterstock.com.
Mar 20, 2024

How do you profit from stock splits? ›

A stock split doesn't add any value to a stock. Instead, it takes one share of a stock and splits it into two shares, reducing its value by half. Current shareholders will hold twice the shares at half the value for each, but the total value doesn't change.

What stocks are splitting soon? ›

Upcoming and Recent Stock Splits
StockExchangeRatio Denominator
CMGNYSE2024-03-19
SABANYSE2024-05-01
APHNYSE2024-05-20
NVDANASDAQ2024-05-22
84 more rows

Do more people buy after a stock split? ›

Investors love stock splits. Although they don't really amount to much, stock splits are seen as a bullish sign there is more growth to come. By carving the stock up into more pieces, more investors can buy shares and push them higher once again.

Is it good or bad when a stock splits? ›

It's basically a draw, and the value of your investment won't change. However, investors generally react positively to stock splits, partly because these announcements signal that a company's board wants to attract investors by making the price more affordable and increasing the number of shares available.

What happens to stock price before split? ›

It remains fixed and is decided at the time of issuance unless there is a stock split. In a stock split, since the same shares are being split in a certain ratio, the face value also gets split in the same ratio. If the face value was Rs 10 before stock split, it will become Rs 5 per share after the split.

When should a company do a stock split? ›

Stock splits are generally done when the stock price of a company has risen so high that it might become an impediment to new investors. Therefore, a split is often the result of growth or the prospects of future growth, and it's a positive signal.

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