2023 Holiday Shopping: Inside the Latest Retail Sales (2024)

Retailers faced more than a few flurries this holiday season—namely, difficult macroeconomic trends. US consumers were contending with steep interest rates, the remnants of historically high inflation, and a general sense of uneasiness. Yet the industry still delivered moderate sales growth. Total nominal Bain-defined retail sales grew 3.8% year over year this holiday season (November and December), close to our forecast of 3.0% growth but below the 10-year average of 5.1%.

Nonstore sales helped retailers weather the storm, growing 9.2% year over year this season and accounting for nearly 28% of sales—its highest seasonal share to date. Meanwhile, in-store sales grew just 1.9%, the lowest rate since 2019. Within in-store sales, retailers in key gifting categories—such as electronics and health and personal care—enjoyed exceptionally strong nominal sales growth, while furniture stores, building and garden stores, and department stores saw year-over-year declines during the holidays.

In the new year, macroeconomic uncertaintyis likely to persist, even as inflation slows. Leading retailers will endure by focusing on long-term value creation for all of their key stakeholders—including investors, customers, employees, suppliers, and communities.

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How to Build Enduring Value in Retail

Winners demonstrate that creating value for all stakeholders, not only investors, makes solid business sense.

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2023 Holiday Shopping: Inside the Latest Retail Sales (2024)

FAQs

2023 Holiday Shopping: Inside the Latest Retail Sales? ›

Holiday sales across both brick-and-mortar and online channels rose to $964.4 billion in the November through December period, coming largely above the NRF's prior expectation of a rise between 3% and 4%, in the range of $957.3 billion to $966.6 billion.

Is holiday shopping up or down in 2023? ›

WASHINGTON – U.S. Census Bureau data released today shows that core retail sales during the 2023 holiday season grew 3.8% over 2022 to a record $964.4 billion, easily meeting the National Retail Federation's forecast despite continued inflation and high interest rates, NRF said.

What are the projections for holiday sales in 2023? ›

Despite consumers' continued price sensitivity, US holiday sales rose 3.9% to reach $1.309 trillion in 2023, per EMARKETER's February 2024 forecast. As holiday retail sales trends normalized to pre-pandemic levels, ecommerce led sales growth, increasing 8.8% to reach $248.02 billion, per EMARKETER.

How are retail sales this holiday season? ›

Total nominal Bain-defined retail sales grew 3.8% year over year this holiday season (November and December), close to our forecast of 3.0% growth but below the 10-year average of 5.1%.

What is the retail sales forecast for 2023? ›

“Successful retailers offer consumers products and services when, where and how they want to shop with prices they want to pay.” The 2024 sales forecast compares with 3.6% annual sales growth of $5.1 trillion in 2023.

What are the holiday marketing trends in 2023? ›

In 2023, holiday shopping gets more social. Shoppers are shifting their search for the perfect gift to social media platforms. And as they get more socially savvy, they'll want higher-quality content and smoother buying experiences.

What percentage of holiday shopping to consumers complete in store? ›

In-store Holiday Shopping Statistics

Only 8% of customers plan to shop in store only with 39% majority online and some in store (Tinuiti Holiday Shopping Report, 2021). According to a survey, in both 2021 and 2022, 43% of shoppers in the U.S. planned to go to stores (Source).

What sells the most in 2023? ›

The 25 product names are listed in ascending order of the aforementioned metric.
  • Hair Wigs. United States Search Volume as of September 28, 2023: 4,400. ...
  • UV Lights. United States Search Volume as of September 28, 2023: 5,400. ...
  • Reusable Water Bottles. ...
  • Power Banks. ...
  • Baby Carriers. ...
  • Smart Plugs. ...
  • VR Headsets. ...
  • Air Purifiers.
Sep 29, 2023

What are the predictions for Christmas retail in 2023? ›

Holiday sales for 2023 are expected to increase between 3% and 4% over 2022. NRF holiday spending is defined as the months of November and December.

What is the most popular holiday 2023? ›

According to a survey conducted in the second quarter of 2023, Thanksgiving had a popularity rating of 79 percent, followed by Memorial Day and Christmas with 78 percent. Other favorite holidays among Americans, including both national and religious events, are Father's Day, Veterans Day, and Mother's Day.

Are there more sales before or after Christmas? ›

Are Sales After Christmas Worth It? Waiting to buy certain items until after Christmas can save you a substantial amount of money. The best strategy is to plan ahead and have a list of items you wish to buy at discounted prices.

Are Christmas sales up or down this year? ›

Dec 26 (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales rose 3.1% between Nov. 1 and Dec.

Which holiday generates the most revenue? ›

Which Holiday Has the Most Sales in the US?
HOLIDAY2019 ($Billion)2020 ($ Billion)
Valentine's Day20.727.4
Easter18.121.7
Mother's Day25.028.1
Father's Day16.017.0
5 more rows
Feb 12, 2023

What are the trends in consumer prices in 2023? ›

The CPI-U increased 3.4 percent in 2023, largely driven by an increase of 6.2 percent in the shelter index. Food prices increased, while energy prices decreased over the year. Excluding food and energy, price increases came in transportation, recreation, medical care, and apparel.

What is the current state of retailing? ›

The role of stores is evolving and still critical to consumer experience. 80% of all shopping still happens in stores. Retail store counts continue to grow with the industry and the broader economy, despite the growing share of ecommerce. In fact, the role of the store is evolving to support buying across all channels.

What is the point of sale trend in 2023? ›

Mobile POS systems have been gaining popularity in recent years, but in 2023, we can expect them to become a mainstream technology for retail and wholesale businesses. Mobile POS systems allow businesses to process transactions on-the-go, which is particularly useful for pop-up shops, outdoor markets, and events.

Is holiday spending up or down? ›

Holiday spending is up, another good sign for the economy : NPR. Holiday spending is up, another good sign for the economy Data show consumer spending from November 1 through Christmas Eve rose 3.1% year over year — a figure in line with the decade leading up to the pandemic and another positive sign for the economy.

Is spending down in 2023? ›

In 2023 consumers increased their total spending by 5.9% (December 2022 through December 2023). After inflation adjustment the gain was still 3.2%. The increase came despite the Federal Reserve's sharp interest rate increases in 2022 and 2023. Expectations for consumer spending had been low for two reasons.

What is the outlook for the 2023 winter shopping season? ›

Holiday sales for 2023 were expected to increase between 3% and 4% over 2022. NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen discussed NRF's Thanksgiving holiday weekend expectations.

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