Retail sales rose 0.6% in December, topping expectations for holiday shopping (2024)

Holiday shopping turned out even better than expected in December as shoppers picked up the pace to close out a strong 2023, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.

Retail sales increased 0.6% for the month, buoyed by a pickup in clothing and accessory stores as well as online nonstore businesses. The results were better than the 0.4% Dow Jones estimate.

Excluding autos, sales rose 0.4%, which also topped the 0.2% estimate.

The report comes amid speculation about how much strength the U.S. economy possessed heading into the new year, when growth is expected to slow. However, a resilient consumer could signal more momentum and possibly give the Federal Reserve some caution about how to proceed on interest rates.

Stock market futures held negative following the release.

"The Fed was already hammering away on its 'no rush to cut rates' message, and today's stronger-than-expected retail sales won't give them any reason to change their tune," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing for E-Trade from Morgan Stanley.

On a year-over-year basis, retail sales ended 2023 up 5.6%. The numbers are not adjusted for inflation, so sales show that consumers are more than keeping up with an annual inflation rate of 3.4% as measured by the consumer price index. The CPI increased 0.3% in December, also lower than the retail sales increase.

Another measure of retail sales strength that excludes sales from auto dealers, building materials stores, gas stations, office suppliers, mobile homes and tobacco stores rose 0.8% for the month. The Commerce Department uses this so-called control group when computing gross domestic product.

Bank of America economists cautioned that the strong December numbers were "driven by a large shift in seasonal factors" that could be offset when the January data is released.

The report showed broad-based strength in sales for the month, though there were a few areas of weakness. Both clothing and accessory stores and online retailers saw 1.5% increases on the month.

"Consumers shunned brick and mortar stores in favor of online shopping," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. "The behavioral change that happened during the pandemic will likely persist and successful retailers will adjust to this new model."

Health and personal-care store receipts declined 1.4% and gas stations saw a 1.3% drop as fuel prices eased. Furniture and home furnishing stores sales also fell 1%.

On a yearly basis, food services and drinking places saw the biggest gains, rising 11.1% though sales were flat in December. Both health and personal care and electronics and appliances saw 10.7% increases. Gas stations dropped 6.6%.

In other economic news Wednesday, import prices were unchanged in December, despite the Wall Street estimate for a 0.5% decline and following a 0.5% drop the previous month. Export prices, however, slid 0.9%, the same as in November.

The reports come with markets anxious over the direction of Fed policy. Current market pricing anticipates the central bank enacting six quarter-percentage point rate cuts in 2024, twice what Fed officials indicated in December. Stronger-than-expected economic growth and inflation could force the Fed into keeping policy more restrictive.

Don't miss these stories from CNBC PRO:

Retail sales rose 0.6% in December, topping expectations for holiday shopping (2024)

FAQs

Retail sales rose 0.6% in December, topping expectations for holiday shopping? ›

Retail sales increased 0.6% in December, buoyed by a pickup in clothing and accessory stores as well as online nonstore businesses. Economists expected a rise of 0.4%. Sales ex-autos climbed 0.4%, better than the 0.2% estimate, and the “control group” increased 0.8%.

Did retail sales rose 0.6% in December? ›

Spending at US retailers rose 0.6% in December from the prior month, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. That was a much stronger pace than November's 0.3% gain, and it also beat economists' expectations. Retail sales are adjusted for seasonal swings, but not inflation.

What percentage of retail sales occur in December? ›

What percentage of annual retail sales do the holidays represent? Overall, holiday sales in November and December have averaged about 19% of total retail sales over the last five years, but the figure can be higher for some retailers.

What is the meaning of retail sales? ›

Retail sales is the sale of consumer goods, or final goods, by businesses to end consumers and includes in-store sales as well as online sales. Products may be durable (with a significant expected shelf life, like washing machines) or perishable (such as groceries).

What is retail sales YoY? ›

US Retail Sales YoY measures the year over year percent change in total retail sales within the US economy, excluding food and services, and represents a majority of discretionary consumer spending.

How much do sales increase during Christmas? ›

The National Retail Federation, the nation's largest retail trade group, said Wednesday that holiday sales rose 3.8% for the November and December period compared to the same year-ago period. That was in line with its forecast for 3% to 4% growth.

Did wholesale prices fell 0.5% in December much more than expected retail sales fall? ›

Wholesale prices fell 0.5% in December, much more than expected; retail sales fall. The producer price index declined 0.5% for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.1% decrease. A sharp drop in energy prices helped bring the headline inflation reading down for the month.

How does Christmas affect the economy? ›

Job creation is another positive effect of Christmas on the economy. Due to increased demand and footfall, employment is provided for many individuals during Christmas, often at a higher pay rate. These are often jobs in retail, logistics and hospitality, and many people rely on this for their yearly income.

Do companies make more money during Christmas? ›

Half (50 percent) of all small businesses get more than 25 percent of their annual sales in the holiday season. 75 percent of retail SMBs say they rely heavily on holiday customers, and 73 percent attribute more than one quarter of their annual sales to the holiday period.

What is the impact of returns on the holiday season? ›

Returns have a significant impact on retail businesses, having cost an estimated $816 billion in revenue in 2022, according to the National Retail Federation. With more consumers having made or expecting to make gift returns, the 2023 holiday season could have an even bigger annual impact than normal.

How is retail sales calculated? ›

It is based on Census Bureau data estimating all retail spending but omits certain volatile categories of spending that can skew the number. Core retail sales represents retail sales excluding spending on automobiles, gasoline, building materials, and food services.

What is an example of a retail sale? ›

Examples of retail sales include clothing purchases, furniture buys, and meals purchases from food services businesses.

What is the difference between retail sales and sales? ›

Retail means to sell goods to the public, typically in small quantities, for consumption. Selling is the exchange of goods or services for money. Although there are numerous sales completed online, there is still a need for physical locations. This opens the opportunity for jobs in sales.

How do you forecast retail sales? ›

To create an accurate sales forecast, follow these five steps:
  1. Assess historical trends. Examine sales from the previous year. ...
  2. Incorporate changes. This is where the forecast gets interesting. ...
  3. Anticipate market trends. ...
  4. Monitor competitors. ...
  5. Include business plans. ...
  6. Accuracy and mistrust. ...
  7. Subjectivity. ...
  8. Usability.

What is the retail sales trend in the year? ›

Retail Sales in the United States increased 3% year-on-year in April 2024, following a downwardly revised 3.8% gain in March. Retail Sales YoY in the United States averaged 4.78 percent from 1993 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 52.50 percent in April of 2021 and a record low of -19.90 percent in April of 2020.

Why are retail sales important? ›

Retail sales is an important indicator that signals either the contraction or expansion of an economy. An increase in retail sales signals a healthy economy that is expanding while a decrease in retail sales signals the opposite. An increase in retail sales usually moves stocks upward and is good for shareholders.

Is December a slow month for sales? ›

While November and December, with events like Black Friday and Cyber Monday, are peak months for online sales, the summer months and post-holiday season in January and February are typically the slowest. However, with the right strategies, retailers can turn these slow months into opportunities.

Are Christmas sales up or down? ›

NRF Says Census Data Shows 2023 Holiday Sales Grew 3.8% to Record $964.4 Billion.

Do sales happen in December? ›

In general, you'll find the biggest discounts in the week between Christmas and New Year's, when retailers are trying to move inventory that didn't sell for the holidays — and tempt buyers coming in with returns or gift cards to pick up something extra.

Did retail sales continue to fall in December as shoppers battled inflation? ›

Retail sales continued to fall in December as shoppers battled inflation. It was a ho-hum end to 2022 for spending in America. US retail sales continued their fall in December, dropping by 1.1% as inflation remained high, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.

Top Articles
How to exercise, roll, and assign options | Fidelity
How to stretch your food dollars
Www.mytotalrewards/Rtx
Minooka Channahon Patch
Explore Tarot: Your Ultimate Tarot Cheat Sheet for Beginners
Farmers Branch Isd Calendar
How to Watch Braves vs. Dodgers: TV Channel & Live Stream - September 15
Imbigswoo
Geometry Escape Challenge A Answer Key
Ssefth1203
Citymd West 146Th Urgent Care - Nyc Photos
6001 Canadian Ct Orlando Fl
Lax Arrivals Volaris
I Wanna Dance with Somebody : séances à Paris et en Île-de-France - L'Officiel des spectacles
Walmart Windshield Wiper Blades
Curtains - Cheap Ready Made Curtains - Deconovo UK
979-200-6466
Pizza Hut In Dinuba
Airrack hiring Associate Producer in Los Angeles, CA | LinkedIn
Craigslist Appomattox Va
Finalize Teams Yahoo Fantasy Football
Quest: Broken Home | Sal's Realm of RuneScape
Shreveport City Warrants Lookup
Shadbase Get Out Of Jail
Play Tetris Mind Bender
Craigslist Lake Charles
Spectrum Outage in Queens, New York
Expression Home XP-452 | Grand public | Imprimantes jet d'encre | Imprimantes | Produits | Epson France
Robotization Deviantart
Riverstock Apartments Photos
Kqelwaob
Ice Dodo Unblocked 76
Parent Management Training (PMT) Worksheet | HappierTHERAPY
Wega Kit Filtros Fiat Cronos Argo 1.8 E-torq + Aceite 5w30 5l
Play 1v1 LOL 66 EZ → UNBLOCKED on 66games.io
Matlab Kruskal Wallis
Lehpiht Shop
Puretalkusa.com/Amac
Federal Student Aid
4083519708
Vivek Flowers Chantilly
Tiny Pains When Giving Blood Nyt Crossword
Thelemagick Library - The New Comment to Liber AL vel Legis
Ferguson Employee Pipeline
Scarlet Maiden F95Zone
3 Zodiac Signs Whose Wishes Come True After The Pisces Moon On September 16
Pike County Buy Sale And Trade
Az Unblocked Games: Complete with ease | airSlate SignNow
Top 1,000 Girl Names for Your Baby Girl in 2024 | Pampers
Diario Las Americas Rentas Hialeah
Phumikhmer 2022
Syrie Funeral Home Obituary
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Nicola Considine CPA

Last Updated:

Views: 6330

Rating: 4.9 / 5 (69 voted)

Reviews: 92% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Nicola Considine CPA

Birthday: 1993-02-26

Address: 3809 Clinton Inlet, East Aleisha, UT 46318-2392

Phone: +2681424145499

Job: Government Technician

Hobby: Calligraphy, Lego building, Worldbuilding, Shooting, Bird watching, Shopping, Cooking

Introduction: My name is Nicola Considine CPA, I am a determined, witty, powerful, brainy, open, smiling, proud person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.